For Bernie Sanders supporters, Tuesday night’s primaries were a sobering experience. Although Sen. Sanders was close in many of the states, having closed much of the gap from Clinton’s previous lead, it wasn’t quite enough to take the majority of delegates. In some cases, like Florida, Clinton took a vast majority of the delegates, leaving Sen. Sanders further in the dust than before.
For those of us familiar with election news this year and those who are beginning to pay attention in light of this cycle’s high stakes, we have some idea what the pundits and bought media outlets will say about the results.
Sanders is done.
He wasn’t a real candidate anyway.
He should drop out now.
Josh Vorhees from Slate published the headline, “Hilary Clinton is Now the Presumptive Democratic Nominee”. Although that may seem true after last night’s showing, I find that title to just as presumptuous as Hilary’s presidential chances.
As progressives, we’ve shown that we care about the numbers. Where Republicans are more concerned with the party demagoguery, we’re dealing in facts. So it’s time to ask ourselves…
Is it Really Over for Sanders?
My answer is no, and although there is some skepticism, I would look to the The Young Turks coverage of the results last night and take it from Jimmy Dore when passionately he says,
“Don’t freak out. This was the last good night for Hilary Clinton. Sanders is about to erase her lead.”
The truth of the matter is, he isn’t out of the race yet. Sen Sanders pledged that he would follow through with his campaign all the way to the convention. He doesn’t really have to follow through with that promise if things look bleak, but the New York Primary is still ahead of us in April, a large state that’s progressive minded. Losing that state would make his bid almost impossible, but we have yet to see what’s going to happen there.
A lot of the metrics we’re seeing from the news show a particular graph many of us are used to looking at. Clinton holds a substantial lead with 1,599 of the required 2,383 delegates, and Sanders trailing with 844. With a lead like that it seems hard to imagine Sanders coming back, but keep in mind, 467 of Hilary’s delegate lead are Super Delegates. Although right now they support Hilary, being Super Delegate means that even all the way up to the convention, they can vote for whoever they choose. There’s still plenty of time for people to be swayed to one side or the other. Add even half of those to Sanders, and suddenly the race becomes a lot closer.
It seems hard to discount them, but even up to the convention, the fact that they can change their vote means that their inclusion in this metric is pretty meaningless. So removing them from the count, suddenly the numbers become 1,132 for Clinton and 818 for Sanders. A little over 200 delegates is not out of the realm of possibility with both New York and California, the two largest votes in the Primaries, still to come.
People are uncomfortable talking about scandal when it comes to supporting Clinton, but it begs mentioning when it’s such an integral part her campaign. Clinton has been in the midst of an investigation concerning her emails while Secretary of State throughout the primary election, and although no one wants to see her be strung up over something that we’re getting tired of hearing about, it remains a possibility.
There’s no way to foresee what will happen, but the Clinton name is marred in scandal, and you never know when they might be dragged down with something new. The sins of the husband do not necessarily equate to the sins of the wife (no matter how meaningless they were in hindsight), but it’s something they can’t escape.
Most pundits and outlets are ready to bury Sanders, but it’s just not something they can do yet. It seems unlikely that he could win the next nine states in a row, but it is yet a possibility that not even the most well informed pundit or news anchor can deny. When its all said and done, the numbers just don’t add up for him to drop out yet.
So I refute Vorhees and I refute the mainstream media. I’m here to tell Sanders supporters and the rest of the primary voters to come, you don’t have to throw in with Clinton. There is time to make up the losses the Sanders campaign as suffered. Revolutions are never easy, but that doesn’t mean that we don’t continue to strive forward.